The latest survey done by non-politicians

Posted on | March 4, 2010 | No Comments

Last Feb. 20 we came up with the first survey done by the Campaigns & Images Group (Philippines) that was commissioned by United Kingdom and US-based companies doing business in the Philippines, because they want to know the real score as to who is really leading in this political race. Indeed, there are just too many self-serving surveys around, even Reader’s Digest came up with their own on who can be most trusted, a survey that seems to surface just in time for election season.

The Campaigns and Images Group tasked a non-government organization that received financial grant from donor countries in the US and the European Economic Community to administer the questionnaire on individuals identified by sector, from services, industrial and agricultural, including occupations and age brackets. The first survey done by this group at the end of January 31, 2010 showed that former Defense Sec. Gibo Teodoro has overtaken Erap and was now 3rd behind the statistically tied Sen. Noynoy Aquino and Sen. Manny Villar.

Campaigns and Images has released its latest survey, which was conducted by volunteers from the Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting (PPCRV) between Feb.10 and 20. This new survey asked the question as to who has the better platform of government among the Presidentiables. Here are the latest results.

Sample Depth

5,100 individuals

Respondents

4,947 individuals
Methodology Random pick, Sector-representative

Target Sections 

Luzon (2,958); Visayas (5,621), Mindanao (1,581)

Candidate

Size

Response (A)

Luzon

(B)

Mindanao

(C) Visayas

(A to C)

% Pts

AQUINO

1,162  14% 6% 3% 23.00%
VILLAR 1,610 18% 10% 4% 32.00%
TEODORO 930 10% 5% 3% 18.00%
ESTRADA 247 3% 2% 0.75% 5.75%
OTHERS 998 11% 7% 0.25% 20.00%
Total 4,947 57% 31% 11% 99.00%

Confidence Rating and Error Margin Calculation

Description

Size

Response

Luzon

(A)

Mindanao

(B)

Visayas

(C)
Total Response 4,947 2,819 1,533 544
Sample Depth 5,100 2,958 1,581 561
Confidence % 97.00% 95.30% 96.96% 96.96%
Error Margin 3.00% 4.70% 3.04% 3.04%

When I first published the first survey from this group, I got calls from many people why that survey wasn’t published or made public? My answer was, “This was the most unbiased of all surveys as it wasn’t collated to help any political candidate as the survey was commissioned to get into the bottom of who were really leading this Presidential race.” But the Campaigns & Images Group allowed me to publish its results.

This latest survey shows that Sen. Manny Villar has now overtaken the survey leader, Noynoy Aquino, III. Sen. Villar bagged a 32% or a 9 percentage points lead against survey leader, Noynoy Aquino who garnered 23%, while Gibo Teodoro, Jr. got 18 percentage points or a mere 6% behind Noynoy. Again let me point out that there are surveys being spread around in order to make their candidates look good. But by far, this survey is the most thorough and the most credible survey that I have ever seen because non-politicians commissioned it.
SHOOTING STRAIGHT By Bobit S. Avila (The Philippine Star) Updated March 05, 2010 12:00 AM

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